Fight fans are gearing up for a tense confrontation scheduled for June 14, 2025 in Las Vegas. Naoya Inoue and Alan Picasso will enter the arena. Bettors and fans are eagerly awaiting this event, which promises to bring many surprises and momentous career turns. This fight for the title of absolute champion within the category of super lightweight will be a significant event. Naoya must do everything possible to defend the belt against the Mexican challenger.
For the first time since 2021, Naoya will return to T-Mobile Arena for the event. The global audience will hold their breath as Inoue’s reputation will collide with the Mexican’s undefeated record. The predicted Inoue VS Picasso betting odds will be an important factor for punters. Especially those who want to make the most effective bet on the outcome of the confrontation.
Naoya Inoue vs Alan Picasso Betting Odds
When looking at the betting market for the upcoming fight, the odds are leaning towards Naoya, emphasizing his status as an elite boxer. Bookmakers characterize Inoue as a clear favorite with odd ranging from -2500 to -3000. If you translate that into odds of winning, the numbers are 96-97%. Underdog Alan Picasso has odd of +1200 to +1800, or 5-7%. Analysts analyze the fight history of each of the participants, so Naoya’s number of knockouts combined with Picasso’s little experience form the current situation.
Market diversity is important for players to increase the chances of winning during bet. If Inoue finishes the fight by knockout (conventional or technical), the betting companies estimate such an outcome as -800, based on his 26 knockouts in 29 wins. Only by judges’ decision, the superiority of the Japanese remains improbable, so the odd for bet +1200 is logical (the athlete very rarely brings fights to the end). Alan Picasso’s odds are defined as +2500, a win by decision is +3500. Be on the early conclusion of the confrontation is reflected in odd -1000, which corresponds to the style of the participant Inoue.
As part of betting, you can try making bets on the rounds. The Asian athlete’s victory in rounds 4-6 is priced at the odd +300. Betting on Alan being able to hold out until rounds 7-9 offers +800. Making a bet on the total number of rounds generates a line for 6.5 rounds, with odd -200 on less than 6.5 and +150 on more than 6.5. This shows that bookmakers are assuming the fight ends in the middle. Odds in pro form (e.g., more than 2 knockdowns from the Japanese) are +200.
Naoya’s steady title favorite makes the prediction more predictable and stable for the upcoming fight. However, high-scoring predictions can be an interesting opportunity for those who believe in his talent. Single bet on the leader remains the most reliable choice.
Inoue vs Picasso Predictions
Predictions for the event are formed with reliance on the styles and statistics of boxers. The table offers an approximate prediction with objective scores:
| Outcome | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Inoue by KO/TKO | -800 | 88.9% |
| Inoue by Decision | +1200 | 7.7% |
| Picasso by KO/TKO | +2500 | 3.8% |
| Picasso by Decision | +3500 | 2.8% |
| Fight Rounds | Odds | Implied Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Under 6.5 Rounds | -200 | 66.7% |
| Fight Over 6.5 Rounds | +150 | 40% |
According to many analysts, Naoya is predicted to finish the fight by knockout, presumably between rounds 4 and 6. Alan shows great competitiveness and excellent pace. Most bettors choose to bet on Inoue finishing the fight in the middle rounds.
If you are looking for alternative betting solutions, you can give it a try:
- Japanese boxer lands a knockdown in the first round: +400.
- The rivalry ends exactly in the fifth round: +600.
- The Mexican throws more than 50 punches: +300.
Such options are also worth considering and can bring good results.
Naoya Inoue
The Japanese athlete is known under the nickname āMonsterā. The number of his knockouts is one of the most astounding in boxing. Naoya lands 15.3 power punches per round with 50% accuracy, well above the division average. In the upcoming bout, Inoue is expected to attack Alan’s body, slowing down his opponentās movement. Making a bet on the favorite as the winner is a confident pick with very high stats.
Alan Picasso
Alan is a young Mexican fighter with 17 knockouts to his credit. He has strong fundamentals of technique and high pace, his knockout percentage is 55%, so he can be considered a worthy opponent for Inoue. On defense, he misses about 10.2 punches per round, which could prove crucial in a clash with the Japanese. In this fight, the Mexican boxer can hope for his opponent’s mistakes and his own stamina. The bet on the contestantās survival after 6 rounds is a risky move for players.